Mitt Romney Scott Brown Ticket in 2012

Former MA governor Mitt Romney, who announced his intention to run for the Presidency, may be the Republicans’ only hope of defeating the Democratic candidate, likely to be President Obama, in the 2012 election.  My prediction is that Romney will win the nomination and chose Senator Scott Brown, also of MA, as his running mate.  This would be a formidable team and one of the only examples I can think of in recent history anyway where running mates hailed from the same state.

Notwithstanding the strength of this ticket for the Republicans, it is potentially a losing formula and here’s why:  the Tea Party – which is not a party, but rather a fringe movement, if you can call it that, of fiercely independent conservative ideologues with a significant libertarian strain, who believe mainstream is a dirty word.  The Tea Party may not back  a Romney ticket and advance one of their ideologues as an Independent or write-in candidate.  Who that would be I don’t know.  Ron Paul could have been the spoiler were he not running as a Republican, virtually guaranteeing an Obama victory.  Sara Palin could also fill that role too.  Maybe she will run as an Independent or a write-in candidate and take away some Republican support.

Spoilers really can have an impact on elections.  As a Green candidate, Ralph Nader helped the Republicans gain control of the White House in 2000; Ross Perot running as an Independent helped Clinton defeat  Bush the elder in 1992.

So, who would Palin’s running mate be?  How about Christine O’Donnell, Palin’s look alike?  Now that would be a hoot.  I can’t wait for the 2012 election to get into high gear – it will be be the best reality show of the season.

If Lynch Votes No I Will Say No To Lynch

Congressman Lynch of Massachusetts, my representative, has vowed to vote no on health care reform after voting to support the first bill in November. He made his announcement Friday morning, giving his constituents little time to respond. I called his Washington office on Friday a number of times, but the phone lines were busy, or perhaps off the hook. I finally got through to his Boston office and spoke to a legislative aide to voice my concerns. The aide said that the Senate had stripped down the bill and that it looked nothing like the original House bill. Lynch himself said in an early morning interview on the local news that the bill didn’t go far enough. He said in the Boston Globe that this “is a very good bill for insurance companies and pharmaceutical companies. It might be good for Nebraska, I don’t know. Or Florida residents…But it’s not good for the average American, and it’s not good for my district. Or for Massachusetts.” He went on to say that the bill will not drive down costs. I disagree. The purpose of the health insurance exchange system is to provide some competition. The Washington Post reported that the CBO estimate was that the bill would cut the deficit by 130 billion over the next ten years. Hey, I live in Congressman Lynch’s district and I say that deficit reduction is good for me and my family and for all of us in MA and the rest of the country. I told the aide I was calling on behalf of the average American who worries about rising premiums and for the millions who have no health insurance coverage at all. The alternative to the bill is nothing. To say that the bill falls short, is to say that nothing is better than a start. This is it. This is the last shot. The Republicans have no interest in health care reform. If they win back the Senate and House in the midterm elections, you can bet that health care reform will not be on their agenda at all. It’s not their issue.

I’m deeply disappointed in Congressman Lynch. I would be horrified if my congressman were responsible for defeating health care reform. But Republican Senator Scott Brown was pleased to hear of Lynch’s opposition. The two may even get the chance to work together in the Senate if Lynch runs for the Senate in 2012, as is rumored he may. Whether he runs for the U.S. Senate or for re-election in the House, one thing is certain, if he votes no on health care reform, even if it passes, he will not get my vote.