Former MA governor Mitt Romney, who announced his intention to run for the Presidency, may be the Republicans’ only hope of defeating the Democratic candidate, likely to be President Obama, in the 2012 election. My prediction is that Romney will win the nomination and chose Senator Scott Brown, also of MA, as his running mate. This would be a formidable team and one of the only examples I can think of in recent history anyway where running mates hailed from the same state.
Notwithstanding the strength of this ticket for the Republicans, it is potentially a losing formula and here’s why: the Tea Party – which is not a party, but rather a fringe movement, if you can call it that, of fiercely independent conservative ideologues with a significant libertarian strain, who believe mainstream is a dirty word. The Tea Party may not back a Romney ticket and advance one of their ideologues as an Independent or write-in candidate. Who that would be I don’t know. Ron Paul could have been the spoiler were he not running as a Republican, virtually guaranteeing an Obama victory. Sara Palin could also fill that role too. Maybe she will run as an Independent or a write-in candidate and take away some Republican support.
Spoilers really can have an impact on elections. As a Green candidate, Ralph Nader helped the Republicans gain control of the White House in 2000; Ross Perot running as an Independent helped Clinton defeat Bush the elder in 1992.
So, who would Palin’s running mate be? How about Christine O’Donnell, Palin’s look alike? Now that would be a hoot. I can’t wait for the 2012 election to get into high gear – it will be be the best reality show of the season.